EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by which date?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / UcrainaEuropa
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
Risolto: 13 ott 2026, 13:58
In attesa di risoluzione verificata
CoinRithm attende un regolamento confermato dal provider prima di trattare questo mercato come risolto.
Cronologia delle Probabilità
October 31100%
December 3193%
December 31Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 100% ·
October 31Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 100% ·
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)
Manifold MarketsEU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
PolymarketWill any EU country or NATO stop sharing intelligence with the United States by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich EU country will have the highest unemployment rate?
Manifold MarketsRussia military action against EU country by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the national government of any European Union member state officially attributes a qualifying attack on its territory to Russia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying attack is an act of sabotage or arson, the placement or detonation of an explosive or incendiary device, or a physical attack on persons or property, carried out within the territory of an EU member state on or after September 1, 2026.
- The following will not qualify: cyber operations; electronic interference such as GPS jamming or spoofing; espionage, surveillance, or reconnaissance; disinformation or influence operations; violations of airspace or territorial waters; drones, missiles, or other munitions launched by Russian armed forces, whether or not they are intercepted; and threats or plots that were not carried out.
- A qualifying attribution is a public statement by an authorized representative of the relevant country acting in an official capacity stating that the attack was carried out, ordered, or directed by the Russian state, including its armed forces or intelligence services, or by persons acting on their instructions.
- Criminal charges filed by that state’s prosecutors alleging that the attack was carried out on behalf of the aforementioned Russian state services will also qualify.