PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeSì 24%
Qualita del mercato
36 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
305,4 €
Liquidità
1,8K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
22.0% / 25.0%
Spread
13.6%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
8 lug 26, 1:1831 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes24%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
- Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
- The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.