PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No change 96%-0.3ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
155,3 €
Liquidità
11K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.7 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
24 giu 26, 00:30 UTC24 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per No change è del 97%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 2 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti. Le piattaforme non concordano su quale esito sia in vantaggio.
Riferimento CoinRithm No change 97% · 2 piattaforme · 2 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Bank of Mexico interest rate decision — September 2026 · No change 92%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Bank of Mexico rate decision in September · Maintain current rate 85%
Mercati aperti
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume totale
- 3,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume totale
- 997K €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2K €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Bank of Mexico Decision in September??
- Polymarket quota No change al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Bank of Mexico Decision in September??
- Bank of Mexico Decision in September? dovrebbe risolversi il 24 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Bank of Mexico Decision in September??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Dove altro è quotato Bank of Mexico Decision in September??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Futuur, Kalshi.