PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
125-130m 22.3%-0.5ptIn testa tra 11 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
15,9 €
Liquidità
109,1K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-1.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
20 feb 26, 17:41 UTC3 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegole
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? · 125 million and above 22%
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 112,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 184,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3K €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume totale
- 4,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 505,9K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume totale
- 25,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3K €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume totale
- 2,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 358,3K €
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- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
- Polymarket quota 125-130m al 22% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
- 2026 Midterms: House Turnout dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Dove altro è quotato 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.