2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20265m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
125 million and above · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Prezzo registrato
125 million and above 27%In testa tra 9 esiti
125 million and above 27%Qualità del mercato
78 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
15,9K €
Open interest
92,2K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
125 million and aboveSpread
—
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 34 minuti fa
21 feb 26, 21:00 UTC31 mar 27, 14:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · 125 million and above
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Manifold MarketsIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the Clerk of the House
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total. If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Regole per ogni esito
- 125 million and above
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 115 to 119.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 115,000,000 and 119,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 120 to 124.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 120,000,000 and 124,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 110 to 114.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 110,000,000 and 114,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 105 to 109.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 105,000,000 and 109,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 100 to 104.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 100,000,000 and 104,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Less than 90 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 95 to 99.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 95,000,000 and 99,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 90 to 94.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 90,000,000 and 94,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.