KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
125 million and above 22%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
35,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.4 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
21 feb 26, 21:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketTX-15 House winner?
KalshiRegole
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the Clerk of the House
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
- Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
- In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
- If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total.
- If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 112,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 184,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3K €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume totale
- 4,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 505,9K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume totale
- 25,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3K €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume totale
- 2,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 358,3K €
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout??
- Kalshi quota 125 million and above al 22% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout??
- 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.