Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 75%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto1 dic 25, 02:32 UTC31 dic 40, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will WW3 happen before GTA6?
Manifold MarketsWill WW3 happen before GTA8?
Manifold MarketsWill WW3 start before gta6?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if a World War III occurs before the official release date of Grand Theft Auto 7.
- Resolution will be determined by whether a formal declaration of war or widely recognized international conflict meeting the definition of World War III has occurred prior to GTA 7's release.
- If a majority of news organizations call a conflict WW III, that will also be sufficient.
- GTA 7 is estimated to release sometime between 2032 and 2037, though no official release date has been announced.
- The market resolves NO if GTA 7 releases without a World War III occurring beforehand.
- Rockstar Games has not officially announced Grand Theft Auto 7, making the exact resolution date uncertain.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 55,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8K €
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will WW3 happen before GTA7??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 75% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will WW3 happen before GTA7??
- Will WW3 happen before GTA7? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2040.
- Come viene liquidato Will WW3 happen before GTA7??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if a World War III occurs before the official release date of Grand Theft Auto 7.