Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
RegolamentazioneOne-Off6mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 62.3%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto6 mag 26, 10:13 UTC31 mar 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
KalshiWill a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTexas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
KalshiWill any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsUS electricity price in August
KalshiWill 2026 turnout exceed 2022? (US midterms, percentage)
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if, by 2027-03-31, the EIA (Energy Information Administration) or Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBL) publishes data indicating that US datacenter electricity consumption in calendar year 2026 exceeded 6% of total US electricity consumption.
- Source of truth (must be one of):
- EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2027 or EIA Monthly Energy Review covering calendar-2026 datacenter electricity figures
- LBL US Data Center Energy Usage Report (next publication after the 2024 report)
- Equivalent EIA or LBL public dataset showing 2026 datacenter electricity / total US electricity ratio
- If neither EIA nor LBL has published 2026 data by 2027-03-31, market resolves based on the most recent EIA / LBL projection that explicitly projects calendar-2026, with consumption exceeding 6% of total = YES.
Mercati aperti
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 altri esiti
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 62% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026??
- Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if, by 2027-03-31, the EIA (Energy Information Administration) or Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBL) publishes data indicating that US datacenter electricity consumption in calendar year 2026 exceeded 6% of total US electricity consumption.