Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 65%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo28 mag 26, 04:24 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Anthropic cover costs of electricity price increases from its data centers before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill at least three more U.S. states impose special electricity tariffs on data centers before Jan 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?
KalshiWill data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by which date?
PolymarketCoreWeave data centers in fiscal 2026
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if an official report from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), or the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) states that data centers consumed more than 10.0% of total U.S. electricity usage (or retail sales, consumption, or grid demand) during the calendar year 2028.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Details:
- Primary Source of Truth: Reports such as the LBNL/DOE Report on U.S. Data Center Energy Use (available at energy.gov) or the EIA's Annual Energy Outlook / Electric Power Annual (available at eia.gov) covering the calendar year 2028.
- Calculation Fallback: If the report does not explicitly state a final percentage but provides both the U.S. data center electricity consumption (in TWh or BkWh) and total U.S. electricity consumption/sales (in TWh or BkWh) for 2028, the percentage will be calculated as: $$\text{Percentage} = \left(\frac{\text{U.S. Data Center Consumption}}{\text{Total U.S. Electricity Consumption}}\right) \times 100$$