Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026?
WeatherOne-Off4mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.6%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo6 ott 23, 20:45 UTC1 feb 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce plans for exploratory fossil fuel surveys by end of 2027?
FutuurWhat conservatives will come out as LGBT in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsUS electricity price in August
KalshiBy when will in-space electricity production exceed surface production?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolved according to the same source that Our World In Data uses, which is Ember Climate.
- "non-fossil fuel sources" exclude coal, gas, oil, and "other fossil," and include everything else: hydro, bioenergy, nuclear, solar, wind, and "other renewables," all per Ember Climate's categories.
- According to these data, electricity production in Terawatt hours (TWh) by source in the United States for 2022 was as follows:
- [image]The percentage of electricity production from non-fossil fuel sources for 2022 was therefore 40.48%.
- If any of the next 4 years' annualized electricity production data (2023, 2024, 2025, 2026) show that the sum of non-fossil fuel sources makeup a majority of electricity production in the United States, this question resolves YES.
- The original Ember Climate data can be found here in an excel sheet.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 232,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 186,1K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 66,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6K €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026??
- Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolved according to the same source that Our World In Data uses, which is Ember Climate.