Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 65.6%
Previsori
34
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto27 dic 23, 12:46 UTC1 gen 36, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
PolymarketWill a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Same question but 2030: https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-ukraine-join-nato-before-end-o-3f350ddb8055?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg
- Same question but 2040:
- https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-ukraine-join-nato-before-end-o-47e71f524701?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 55,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8K €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035??
- Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2036.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Same question but 2030: https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-ukraine-join-nato-before-end-o-3f350ddb8055?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg