Will Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026?
Politica USAOne-OffSocietà e culturaIntrattenimento2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.5%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto17 gen 26, 19:31 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
In a live stream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BR9G3eMEmxE) Tor encouraged viewers to create a prediction market about whether he would come out as trans.
- To resolve YES, at least one of the following conditions must be met:
- A public announcement in any public social media such as Twitter, Bluesky, Youtube, Instagram or public Facebook post before 23:59:59 EST on 31/12/2026 by Tor Parsons (or the person formerly known as Tor Parsons) of Tor's transgender or non-binary status.
- A public announcement as above that Tor is taking estrogen or testosterone-blockers for the purpose of feminisation.
- A public announcement as above that Tor has changed his pronouns to no longer include he/him.
- The edge case of Tor changing his pronouns to he/they will still resolve to NO if none of the other conditions are met, though they/he will resolve to YES.
