Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto17 lug 26, 04:01 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Thinking Machines acquired by Apple before 2031?
Manifold MarketsThinking Machines Lab releases product before Safe Superintelligence?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta or Thinking Machines have a stronger model by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegole
ARR, at any point before 2029.
- If either company is acquired / merged into some other larger company, we'll vibe-resolve with 2029 AI (it will be very smart)
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.6pt70.7%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt13.1%
- Grok+0.8pt7.1%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 50,3K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-1.0pt89%
- December 31,-3.5pt88%
- November 30,-6.5pt85%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$900B+10.4pt100%
- ↑$1.0T-4.5pt82%
- ↑$1.25T-4.5pt57%
+12 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude+1.0pt91.7%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini0.9%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 60,6K €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+2.0pt91.4%
- Grok+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 425,5K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-9.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt84%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 7–13
- Most popular AI this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029??
- Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: ARR, at any point before 2029.