Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.3%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto15 mag 26, 02:12 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Thinking Machines Lab releases product before Safe Superintelligence?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta or Thinking Machines have a stronger model by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 81° to 82°+67.0pt95.2%
- 85° or above-13.0pt1%
- 83° to 84°-42.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 381,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 354,8K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Atlanta+12.0pt99%
- Washington DC+3.0pt84%
- Seattle-11.0pt69%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 236,5K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,500 or above97%
- $65,500 or above97%
- $68,000 or above97%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 252,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 199,6K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+3.0pt21.2%
- 160-179+4.0pt20.2%
- 140-159+4.4pt16.2%
+23 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.9pt97%
- Google-0.9pt2%
- OpenAI-0.3pt1%
+18 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+1.0pt69.9%
- Before March 2027+1.0pt17.5%
- Before February 2027-3.0pt5.8%
+2 altri esiti
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 12, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 12, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 12, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 13, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Sep 12, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Thinking Machines acquired by Apple before 2031??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 85% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Thinking Machines acquired by Apple before 2031??
- Thinking Machines acquired by Apple before 2031? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.