Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.2%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo5 lug 26, 19:44 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Ukraine hyperinflation by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICC issue an arrest warrant against a sitting world leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia have gone through an economic depression by EOY 2045?
Manifold MarketsWill the BRICS nations officially launch a common digital settlement currency for international trade by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsMidterms: which issue matters most to voters?
KalshiRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2028, any region of the Russian Federation is officially declared or classified as experiencing a "famine" by any of the following entities:
- The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) or the Famine Review Committee (FRC) classifies any area within the Russian Federation as being in Phase 5 (Famine).
- Any major United Nations agency (such as the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), World Food Programme (WFP), or UNICEF) formally declares a "famine" within any region of Russia.
- The Government of the Russian Federation officially declares a state of "famine" (голод) or issues a federal emergency decree acknowledging famine conditions within the country's borders.
- A major, internationally recognized humanitarian organization (such as the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), Doctors Without Borders (MSF), or the International Rescue Committee (IRC)) publishes an official report or statement explicitly confirming that a famine is occurring in Russia.