KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Economy and cost of living 86.2%In testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Economy and cost of living 86.2%Qualità del mercato
76 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
41,8K €
Liquidità
29,3K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
24 set 26, 21:00 UTC6 nov 26, 16:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiUS imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
PolymarketRegole
If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for every answer choice that maps to it on the national U.S. House exit poll's most-important-issue question as displayed by the source, whatever its exact title.
- If more than one such question is displayed, the one asking which issue mattered most to the respondent's vote governs.
- An answer choice maps to a strike only if its wording contains, as a whole word or phrase and ignoring capitalization and singular or plural form, one of the terms listed for that strike: economy, economic, inflation, price, cost, cost of living, affordability, affordable, job, tax, tariff or trade (the named outcome); Iran, war, foreign policy, national security or terrorism (the named outcome); immigration, border or deportation (Immigration); democracy (Democracy); the named outcome or healthcare (the named outcome); abortion (Abortion); and crime or public safety (Crime).
- An answer choice containing terms listed for more than one strike maps only to the strike whose term appears first in it.
- Any other answer choice, including gun policy, maps to no strike and is compared on its own percentage.