PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
1.6 to 1.8% 42.3%In testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
60,6 €
Liquidità
2,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
11 set 26, 15:31 UTC13 ott 26, 15:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiBP Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiSeptember Inflation US - Monthly
Polymarket🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart.
Manifold MarketsRegole
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
- This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
- The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 128,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 95,8K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 29K €
- Volume 24h
- 29K €
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1K €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Argentina Monthly Inflation - September?
- Polymarket quota 1.6 to 1.8% al 42% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Argentina Monthly Inflation - September?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September dovrebbe risolversi il 13 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Argentina Monthly Inflation - September?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
- Dove altro è quotato Argentina Monthly Inflation - September?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.