KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2% 18%In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualità del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
29K €
Liquidità
24,6K €
Alta liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
13 set 26, 22:00 UTC14 ott 26, 12:25 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiWill September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsHeadline PCE inflation in Aug 2026
KalshiWill core CPI be above headline CPI in September?
KalshiIn What Year will the Costco Hotdog Combo cost more than $1.50?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items Less Food and Energy.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Headline CPI MoM and Core CPI MoM each use ECONSTAT.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 128,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 95,8K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1K €
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause+0.5pt20.8%
- Cut–Pause–Pause-0.8pt0%
- Cut–Pause–Cut-0.4pt0%
+6 altri esiti
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core?
- Kalshi quota Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2% al 18% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core?
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core dovrebbe risolversi il 14 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket, Kalshi.