Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 74.6%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo22 giu 26, 00:04 UTC14 ott 26, 12:29 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for September 2026 reports that the all-items Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), seasonally adjusted, rose at least 0.3% from August 2026 to September 2026.
- Resolve NO if the initial BLS release reports a seasonally adjusted all-items CPI-U month-over-month change of 0.2% or lower, including 0.0% or a decline.
- Use the official BLS CPI news release or its tables for September 2026 as the primary source.
- Do not use core CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE, PPI, non-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, real earnings, or later annual revisions.
- If BLS corrects the initial September 2026 CPI release before this market is resolved, use the corrected BLS release.
- Scheduled source context: BLS calendar lists Consumer Price Index, September 2026, at 08:30 AM Eastern on October 14, 2026.
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 334,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 77,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5K €
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 75% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month??
- Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? dovrebbe risolversi il 14 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for September 2026 reports that the all-items Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), seasonally adjusted, rose at least 0.3% from August 2026 to September 2026.