KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 14 set 2026, 11:35 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
11 set 26, 23:30 UTC14 ott 26, 12:25 UTC
Trend
100%
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsCPI in September
KalshiUS shelter CPI in September
KalshiUS gasoline CPI for September
KalshiWill September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsCore CPI MoM - September 2026
PolymarketRegole
If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used.
- Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.
- For purposes of this market, “U.S. CPI all items less food and energy year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “U.S. CPI all items year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 128,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 95,8K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 29K €
- Volume 24h
- 29K €
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1K €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September??
- Kalshi quota No al 100% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September??
- Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September? dovrebbe risolversi il 14 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.