PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
0.2% 37.9%+2.5ptIn testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
54 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
205,9 €
Liquidità
4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
11 set 26, 15:29 UTC15 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Argentina inflation rate MoM for September
KalshiPPI MoM in September
KalshiCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiCore CPI YoY - September 2026
PolymarketWill November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 3% in September 2026?
ForecastExRegole
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — CPI core month-over-month in Sep 2026? · Exactly 0.3% 91%
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 128,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 95,8K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 29K €
- Volume 24h
- 29K €
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1K €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- Polymarket quota 0.2% al 38% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - September 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 15 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Dove altro è quotato Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.