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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Macro & Economy
  3. How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

One-OffMacro & EconomyFedInflation
KalshiKalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione

Questo mercato si è risolto: Above 6.5% (100%)

Risolto: 21 mag 2026, 19:50

Probabilità implicita attuale
Above 6.5%
Above 6.5% 100%
In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

245,7 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

7 gen 26, 15:0021 mag 26, 19:20

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Above 6.6%
Above 6.6%
80%
Above 6.7%
Above 6.7%
60%
Above 6.8%
Above 6.8%
50%
Above 6.9%
Above 6.9%
31%
Above 7.0%
Above 7.0%
23%
Above 6.5%
Above 6.5%
100%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

Regole

If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.5% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency.
  • If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.6% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.7% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.8% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.9% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Manifold Markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

44 €
0 (0 bps): 82.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?

124,1 €
0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75): 37.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

88 €
Sì: 15.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

0 €
Above 125,000: 41%KalshiKALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

0 €
Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%KalshiKALSHI
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

0 €
Above -25,000: 78%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$59,782.53-1.80%EthereumETH$1,570.42-2.84%SolanaSOL$67.17-1.06%DogecoinDOGE$0.0746-1.79%XRPXRP$1.04-2.96%BNBBNB$560.11-0.61%

Notizie Correlate

Inflation gauge hits 3-year high as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 77.5%Blockchain.NewsHot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.NewsInflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.NewsBofA flags 2026 hikes; Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 73.5%Blockchain.NewsWarsh flags easy financing as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 78.5%Blockchain.NewsWarsh drops forward guidance as Polymarket pegs 2026 zero cuts at 79.85%Blockchain.News

Regole

If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.5% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency.
  • If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.6% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.7% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.8% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.9% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.