Will there be a civil war with at least 1,000 deaths in Venezuela in 2026?
GeopoliticaOne-OffLatin America4mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93%
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo3 gen 26, 17:24 UTC31 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
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A civil war will be defined as follows:
- There are at least two organized armed groups
- They're fighting for control of the government, territory, or policy
- The conflict reaches a certain scale of violence--defined here as at least 1,000 battle-related deaths in 2026 according to the high end of the range displayed on Wikipedia.
- If deaths only exceed 1,000 after 2026, it doesn't count.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a civil war with at least 1,000 deaths in Venezuela in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a civil war with at least 1,000 deaths in Venezuela in 2026??
- Will there be a civil war with at least 1,000 deaths in Venezuela in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a civil war with at least 1,000 deaths in Venezuela in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: A civil war will be defined as follows: