Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off5mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 68.4%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto8 feb 26, 16:05 UTC7 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution Criteria
- The Epstein files released by the Department of Justice include email exchanges between Epstein and a contact listed as "The Duke," which is believed to refer to Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew).
- This market resolves YES if the US Justice Department or a major news outlet (defined as outlets with national/international reach and editorial standards, such as AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, CNN, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Guardian, or equivalent) officially confirms that "The Duke" in the Epstein files refers to someone other than Prince Andrew.
- This market resolves NO if no such confirmation is made by February 8, 2027, or if official sources continue to identify "The Duke" as Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the DOJ's official Epstein Library at https://www.justice.gov/epstein and statements from major news outlets covering the Epstein files.
- Email exchanges between Epstein and an account named "The Duke" are signed "A" with the words "HRH The Duke of York KG" at the bottom — suggesting that the sender is Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, who was known as Prince Andrew and the Duke of York before he was recently barred from using the titles.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 68% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew??
- Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew? dovrebbe risolversi il 7 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria