Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026?
GeopoliticaOne-OffEuropa3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.6%
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo7 gen 26, 08:25 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if the United States takes military action against any other member of NATO before the 1st of January 2027, otherwise resolves NO.
- Military action includes but is not limited to:
- remote attack by missile or drone.
- Deploying ground troops to the other nation’s soil in contravention of the wishes of that nation.
- Covert operations that are acknowledged by the US or strongly evidenced by the other nation.
- Anything noted by both sides as a training exercise will not cause this market to resolve YES.