Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?
One-OffScienza13aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 75.5%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto12 giu 23, 16:48 UTC12 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the wild population of North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become Extinct by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegole
Was watching a video from MayaHiga, a streamer/conservationist and it mentioned that North Atlantic right whale are predicted to be functionally extinct by 2035 and full on extinction by 2044.
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/uIoI4na-gUs) The source of the figures being quoted by the executive director of WDC wasn't made clear.
- It seems to conflict with Wikipedia who lists them as an example of a species that some scientists already consider functionally extinct.
- So, for this market to resolve YES, I'll defer to WDC's stance on whether they are considered functionally extinct.
- This market will resolve YES if at any point before 2040 a declaration of functional extinction is made which at the time is believed to be true (even if it is later proven wrong).