Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.4%
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Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
29 dic 24, 17:26 UTC6 gen 16, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the next Millennium problem solved be solved by Chinese AI?
Manifold MarketsWill another Millennium prize problem be solved before a human steps on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRegole
The Millennium Prize Problems are seven of the most challenging unsolved problems in mathematics, established by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000.
- Only one problem, the Poincaré Conjecture, has been solved to date (by Grigori Perelman in 2003).
- The remaining problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, Yang-Mills and Mass Gap, Navier-Stokes Existence and Smoothness, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, and Hodge Conjecture.
- Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if a human mathematician or team of mathematicians solves one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems without significant AI assistance
- Resolves NO if an AI system generates the accepted solution
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
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- December 31+0.1pt4%
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- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
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KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
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KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
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- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the next Millennium problem to be solved be solved by a human??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the next Millennium problem to be solved be solved by a human??
- Will the next Millennium problem to be solved be solved by a human? dovrebbe risolversi il 6 gennaio 2216.
- Come viene liquidato Will the next Millennium problem to be solved be solved by a human??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The Millennium Prize Problems are seven of the most challenging unsolved problems in mathematics, established by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000.