Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 91.7%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto26 set 24, 15:06 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PolymarketWIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?
Manifold MarketsWhich Trump children will be indicted or arrested by the midterm elections in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRegole
After Eric Adams, will the next person to serve as the Mayor of New York City be indicted while in office?
- Not counting active mayors of NYC.
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume totale
- 347,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4K €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume totale
- 498,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the next mayor of NYC be indicted while in office??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the next mayor of NYC be indicted while in office??
- Will the next mayor of NYC be indicted while in office? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the next mayor of NYC be indicted while in office??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: After Eric Adams, will the next person to serve as the Mayor of New York City be indicted while in office?