Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 61%
Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto21 feb 24, 01:25 UTC7 nov 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win in 2028 Presidential Elections
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRegole
Resolves YES if the inflation rate is announced to be 6% or higher on any given month between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections in the United States, inclusive of the two months when the elections happen.
- Resolves NO otherwise, after the CPI data was made public for the month of the 2028 presidential election.
- Will not wait for corrections.
- The yearly inflation rate refers to the consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate as announced on the US Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
- https://www.bls.gov/cpi/
- May resolve N/A if an event makes it clear there will be no presidential election in 2024 or 2028.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 554,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,8K €
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 79,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6K €
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 61% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections??
- Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections? dovrebbe risolversi il 7 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if the inflation rate is announced to be 6% or higher on any given month between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections in the United States, inclusive of the two months when the elections happen.