Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Other 23%In testa tra 30 esiti
Other 23%Previsori
46
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto8 nov 24, 11:41 UTC26 nov 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWinner of the next US Presidential Election
FutuurRegole
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
- Anyone that adds a new candidate and bets for them will get a Ṁ10 subsidy for their contribution of new information and potentially new candidates.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 20%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
