Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit?
InflationOne-OffMacro & EconomyUS Politics2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 70.1%
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13
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto21 nov 24, 03:35 UTC1 ott 28, 05:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
The United States FY2024 deficit was around $1,832,816,000,000 ($1.8 trillion).
- Will the FY2028 (ends September 30, 2028) deficit be lower?
- Data source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSD
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 91 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 569,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 359,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 79,7K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 18,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,3K €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
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- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
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- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 70% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit??
- Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The United States FY2024 deficit was around $1,832,816,000,000 ($1.8 trillion).