Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 68.8%
Previsori
79
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto27 dic 23, 19:11 UTC1 gen 30, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?
Manifold MarketsWill the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before the Collatz Conjecture?
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KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWill CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
The Collatz conjecture is one of the most famous unsolved problems in mathematics.
- The conjecture asks whether repeating two simple arithmetic operations will eventually transform every positive integer into 1.
- It concerns sequences of integers in which each term is obtained from the previous term as follows: if the previous term is even, the next term is one half of the previous term.
- If the previous term is odd, the next term is 3 times the previous term plus 1.
- The conjecture is that these sequences always reach 1, no matter which positive integer is chosen to start the sequence.
Mercati aperti
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 59,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-1.1pt5%
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- 29,5 Mln €
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KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
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- Yes-10.9pt3%
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POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-1.5pt75.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-1.0pt0%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.6pt73%
- No27%
- Volume totale
- 302,9K €
- Volume 24h
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- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 69% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030??
- Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The Collatz conjecture is one of the most famous unsolved problems in mathematics.