Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 82.8%
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto1 gen 23, 23:35 UTC31 dic 32, 13:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
Manifold MarketsThe USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028
Manifold MarketsWill China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by which date?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves to yes if the Liaoning sinks or is otherwise crippled/rendered permanently inoperable before 2033
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+8.0pt67%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 512,6K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 9,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,5K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 56,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 170,4K €
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 83% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033?
- Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2032.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to yes if the Liaoning sinks or is otherwise crippled/rendered permanently inoperable before 2033