Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
RegolamentazioneOne-OffElezionePolitica2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 84.7%
Previsori
37
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto16 apr 24, 21:58 UTC1 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will a real money prediction market about OpenAI announcing AGI first stay above 90% for one month?
Manifold MarketsMeta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027?
Manifold Markets2028 US Presidential Election winner?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if the CFTC gives their approval for any real-money prediction market on the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election (the market itself doesn't need to have launched).
- Resolves NO if no such markets exist by the date of the election.
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 altri esiti
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 85% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election??
- Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if the CFTC gives their approval for any real-money prediction market on the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election (the market itself doesn't need to have launched).