Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 70.8%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto9 set 24, 07:51 UTC27 ago 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?
Manifold MarketsDid Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)
Manifold MarketsWill Lucy Letby be exonerated?
Manifold MarketsComey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?
KalshiTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegole
Letby's new legal team have said they will make an application to the CCRC asking for them to refer her case base to the Court of Appeal.
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Her legal teams makes a submission to the CCRC, and the CCRC refers the case back to the Court of Appeal
- It will resolve NO if:
- Her legal team has made no submission to the CCRC before 1st September 2026
- Her legal team makes a submission to the CCRC, and they decline to refer it to the Court of Appeal
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 8,6K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Volume totale
- 503,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6K €
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Volume totale
- 353,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 6K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?
- Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 71% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal??
- Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal? dovrebbe risolversi il 27 agosto 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Letby's new legal team have said they will make an application to the CCRC asking for them to refer her case base to the Court of Appeal.