Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 54.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 21 ore fa
Obsoleto16 set 24, 19:43 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
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Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?
FutuurAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
https://arcprize.org/leaderboard Achieve a performance of 85% or higher on the private set of Chollet's Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC), a challenging benchmark designed to test an AI's ability to solve abstract reasoning tasks with minimal prior knowledge.
- Even if the requirements for the grand prize change in 2025, this benchmark of >=85% performance will remain unchanged.
- Learn more about the competition here: https://arcprize.org/competition.
- 2025 version https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai-srb6t2awj1
- 2024 version https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai
