Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 53.1% al 26 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026??

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.

Come viene liquidato Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://arcprize.org/leaderboard Achieve a performance of 85% or higher on the private set of Chollet's Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC), a challenging benchmark designed to test an AI's ability to solve abstract reasoning tasks with minimal prior knowledge.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+10.0pt94%
• December 15,+10.5pt93%
• November 30,+31.0pt89%

+15 altri esiti

Volume totale

5,2 Mln €

Volume 24h

313,4K €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt95.5%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+5.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+0.5pt29.8%
• $2.0–$2.25T+2.5pt21.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T-3.0pt16.4%

+7 altri esiti

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• America First+58.0pt99.5%
• Working Class / Middle Class+40.0pt99.5%
• Oil / Gas / Gasoline+61.0pt

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.1pt58.4%
• Gemini+1.5pt30.5%
• ChatGPT-0.5pt

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+9.7pt96%
• ↑$1.75T+3.5pt82%
• ↑$2.0T+8.0pt67%

+11 altri esiti

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