Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Yes (67.6%)
Risolto: 19 ago 2026, 19:51
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 67.6%
Previsori
44
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 ore fa
Obsoleto14 ago 26, 17:4519 ago 26, 19:51
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes67.6%
No32.400000000000006%
67.6%
32.4%
Regole
This market refers to any event that happens starting at 5pm EST on August 14, until 5pm EST on August 21.
- This is intended as a regular series.
- Something happens is defined as anything that:
- Zvi does NOT know about on August 14, 2026 at 5pm EST.
- Obligates (not merely allows) a speed premium post to Don't Worry About the Vase
- Is about AI.
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 255,6K €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 143,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 130,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,8 Mln €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will something happen in AI the week of Aug 21, 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 68% al 20 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will something happen in AI the week of Aug 21, 2026??
- Will something happen in AI the week of Aug 21, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 19 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will something happen in AI the week of Aug 21, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market refers to any event that happens starting at 5pm EST on August 14, until 5pm EST on August 21.