Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 03:24 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 97.5%
Previsori
31
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto10 gen 24, 08:38 UTC1 gen 01, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a Human or AI model solve the Riemann hypothesis by 2028?
Manifold MarketsFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?
KalshiAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
Manifold MarketsWill we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if the first person to prove that the Reimann hypothesis is true, false, or independent of ZFC posts their proof in the following market to get the bounty:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ElijahBodden3c33/250-mana-for-the-first-viable-proof?r=UGxhc21hQmFsbGlu)If multiple people are involved in the final proof (or disproof etc.) of the Riemann hypothesis, only one of them needs to claim the bounty.
- Resolves NO if the bounty is canceled, the bounty is claimed by someone else (e.g., someone who didn't write the proof posts it in the comments and gets the bounty), or the bounty is still unclaimed after the Riemann hypothesis has been solved for at least a year.