Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 40+ (100%)
Risolto: 10 lug 2026, 00:20
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Previsione della comunità attuale40+ 100%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 giorni fa
Obsoleto25 giu 26, 5:2910 lug 26, 0:20
Cronologia delle Probabilità
40+100%
60+0%
80+0%
100%
0%
0%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· 40+
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto85% di corrispondenza · verificato | Alta | 108% | — | 30,8K € | 205,1K € | 12 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Polymarket82% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 100% | — | 7,4K € | 0 € | 17 giorni fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 100% | — | — | — | 15 giorni fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
3.5%5g
+18.1%100%
+3.5%13%
+2.9%8%
+4 altri esiti
89 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale1,2 Mln €
Volume 24h30,8K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Chiusi
Risolto
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 altri esiti
72 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoBassa liquidità
Volume totale631,8K €
Volume 24h7,4K €
POLYMARKETRegole
This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket:
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205l’altro ieri
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205l’altro ieri$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 gg fa$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 gg fa$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 gg fa$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 gg fa$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 gg fa$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 gg fa$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 gg fa
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 gg faMercati Correlati
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This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket:
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.