PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 20-40 (100%)
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale20-40 100%+2.1%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
72 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
7,4K €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+16.4%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 giorni fa
Obsoleto1 giu 26, 0:2730 giu 26, 16:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
10-200%
20-40100%
40-601%
60+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· 20-40
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketMigliore in assoluto82% di corrispondenza · collegato | Media | 100% | — | 40K € | 215K € | 5 minuti fa | Apri → |
| PolymarketQuesta pagina | Media | 100% | — | 7,4K € | 0 € | 18 giorni fa | |
 Manifold Markets82% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 100% | — | — | — | 15 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Chiusi
Risolto
40+ (100%)
100%
0%
0%
Previsione della comunità17 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
3.7%5g
+18.1%100%
+8.3%17%
+3.7%8%
+4 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale1,2 Mln €
Volume 24h40K €
POLYMARKETRegole
This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for June 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205l’altro ieri
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205l’altro ieri$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 gg fa$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 gg fa$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 gg fa$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 gg fa$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 gg fa$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 gg fa$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 gg fa
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 gg faTrend del volume
$8.4k2 lug7g di dati8 lug
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This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for June 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.