Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
2.5% (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East5g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale40+ 100%+18.1%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
100 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
29,3K €
Liquidità
202,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
11.4% / 11.7%
Spread
2.6%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
-1.9%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
26 giu 26, 21:0131 lug 26, 23:59
Trend
100%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
30+12%
Confronta le piattaforme· 40+
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 100% | — | 29,3K € | 202,4K € | 17 minuti fa | |
| Polymarket82% di corrispondenza · collegato | Media | 100% | — | 7,4K € | 0 € | 17 giorni fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets85% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 100% | — | — | — | 15 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Chiusi
Risolto
40+ (100%)
100%
0%
0%
Previsione della comunità17 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Chiusi
Risolto
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 altri esiti
72 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoBassa liquidità
Volume totale631,7K €
Volume 24h7,4K €
POLYMARKETRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205l’altro ieri
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205l’altro ieri$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 gg fa$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 gg fa$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 gg fa$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 gg fa$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 gg fa$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 gg fa$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 gg fa
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 gg faTrend del volume
$33.4k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.