Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
10.0 pt (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-OffUS PoliticsElezioneMiddle EastChessSportPolitica1a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Yashar 94%In testa tra 20 esiti
Qualità del mercato
50 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
886,4 €
Liquidità
14,7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
20 lug 26, 20:00 UTC1 gen 28, 15:00 UTC
Trend
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If a coalition that includes Likud make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- Additionally, A “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).
- If, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be a part of the next government of Israel??
- Kalshi quota Yashar al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be a part of the next government of Israel??
- Who will be a part of the next government of Israel? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be a part of the next government of Israel??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a coalition that includes Likud make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.