Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
One-OffPoliticaElezioneChessUS PoliticsSport3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Labour Party 66%+2.5ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
25 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
315 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
2.0% / 72.0%
Spread
70.0 pt
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
29 apr 26, 23:437 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Labour Party66%
Trend del volume
$155 lug8g di dati22 lug
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A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first New Zealand government formed after the 2026 New Zealand general election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the Governor-General after the 2026 New Zealand general election, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
- A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.