Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
2.0 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezioneChessUS PoliticsSport1m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Green Party 63%+2.5ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
42 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
52 €
Liquidità
1,6K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
11
Variazione 7g
-26.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
29 apr 26, 23:43 UTC7 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first New Zealand government formed after the 2026 New Zealand general election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the Governor-General after the 2026 New Zealand general election, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
- A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.