Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
PoliticaOne-OffChessUS PoliticsElezioneSport6m
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Dati al 10 set 2026, 19:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
National 0%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
31 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
10 set 26, 02:00 UTC15 mar 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
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PolymarketRegole
If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test.
- A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand??
- Kalshi quota National al 0% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand??
- Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.