KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
AfD 42%-20.0ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
59,3 €
Liquidità
3,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
21.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 19:00 UTC15 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
Manifold MarketsNext government of Saxony-Anhalt?
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KalshiRegole
If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a coalition that includes the named outcome make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt??
- Kalshi quota AfD al 42% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt??
- Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.