Previsione della comunità attuale
Other 22.9%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+8.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
7 set 26, 02:27 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsIf Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
Manifold MarketsNext Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent
KalshiIf nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves to whichever configuration the next minister president (if any) takes the oath of office under, regardless of how long they remain in office.
- If there is ambiguity about whether an agreement between parties is a coalition or just a tolerated minority government, I'll resolve to "coalition" if there is any form of publicly signed contract between the parties, regardless of whether they call it a coalition contract.
- If somebody is voted into the office of minister president without such a contract being public, that resolves to "minority government" for the party of the minister president.
Mercati aperti
Europe
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 494,6K €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 809,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 123,4K €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next government of Saxony-Anhalt??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 23% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next government of Saxony-Anhalt??
- Next government of Saxony-Anhalt? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Next government of Saxony-Anhalt??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to whichever configuration the next minister president (if any) takes the oath of office under, regardless of how long they remain in office.