If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

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No 53.5%

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Aggiornato 17 ore fa

Obsoleto

7 set 26, 02:34 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC

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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

Next minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?

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Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?

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Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?

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AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?

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Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent

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Regole

AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

Resolves YES if they win an absolute majority of seats in parliament, i. e. not necessarily 50% of votes.
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If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

One-OffEurope Politica Elezione1a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 53.5%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 17 ore fa

Obsoleto

7 set 26, 02:34 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

Next minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?

Manifold Markets

Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?

Kalshi

Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?

Manifold Markets

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Polymarket

AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?

Manifold Markets

Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent

Kalshi

Regole

AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

Resolves YES if they win an absolute majority of seats in parliament, i. e. not necessarily 50% of votes.
[link preview]

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election??: Manifold Markets quota No al 54% al 8 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election??: If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
Come viene liquidato If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

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