Previsione della comunità attuale
Above 4 32.2%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto18 giu 26, 12:57 UTC18 giu 27, 21:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
n = number of seats AfD wins in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election.
- V = highest valid votes cast for Ulrich Siegmund in any single Minister-President ballot where he's a candidate, across the first government-formation process after that election.
- Resolves to V − n
- Abstentions, invalid ballots, and votes for other candidates don't count toward V. Resolves N/A if Siegmund is never a candidate in any Minister-President ballot before a new government is formed.