Previsione della comunità attuale
National 65.3%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto6 mar 26, 06:39 UTC24 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolymarketWill the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PolymarketNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on 7 November 2026.
- The market resolves to whichever main party (National or Labour) forms the government following the election.
- A party must demonstrate to the Governor-General that they have the confidence of the House by securing a majority of votes in a confidence motion and getting a budget through parliament.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General and the New Zealand government regarding which party leader is appointed Prime Minister.
- See: https://www.beehive.govt.nz/ and https://gg.govt.nz/
Mercati aperti
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-12.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Solana (SOL)-4.0pt30%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 593,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9K €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 43 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume totale
- 271,5 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 101,4 €
- Volume 24h
- Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
- In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans
- Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?
- Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)
- Days without sunspots in 2026.
- 🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
- Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?
- Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅
- Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026
- When will consumer AI be able to read me a book
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
- Manifold Markets quota National al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
- Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election dovrebbe risolversi il 24 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria