Previsione della comunità attuale
Labour 56%In testa tra 10 esiti
Labour 56%Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto22 ago 24, 00:03 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsFollowing the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?
Manifold MarketsWhat combination of parties will form executive government after the 2026 Victorian state election?
Manifold MarketsWho will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
KalshiWill Ulf Kristersson form a government as a result of the 2026 Elections?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiRegole
Parties with ministers inside cabinet are considered part of forming a government.
- Parties who do not have ministers inside cabinet are not considered part of the government for the resolution of this question.
- So, in 2020, a similar question would only resolve positively for Labour.
- In 2023, it would resolve positively for National, the named outcome, and ACT.
- I will add new parties on request from 1 January 2026 if they are officially registered, or as I judge to be worthwhile adding.
- Parties included so far are those that ran in both 2020 and 2023.
